Betfair_UKPolitics_ExploratoryAnalysis
Number and Type of Markets
- # Markets = 731
- # Constituency Markets = 650
- # Other Markets = 81
Most active Markets
kable(head(data_matched_other,22), format = "markdown")| Market | Matched (£) |
|---|---|
| 2015 UK General Election - Overall Majority | 2965756 |
| 2015 UK General Election - Most Seats | 2193472 |
| 2015 UK General Election - Next Government | 341565 |
| 2015 UK General Election - Prime Minister After General Election | 203146 |
| UK Seat Totals - UKIP Seats Total | 192054 |
| Prime Minister after Cameron - Prime Minister after Cameron | 86061 |
| Scotland - Most Seats Scotland | 78073 |
| 2015 UK General Election - Party Leaders | 49771 |
| UK Seat Totals - UKIP U/O 2.5 Seats | 38062 |
| UK Seat Totals - UKIP Seats Total 2 | 30153 |
| Next Party Leaders - Next Conservative Leader | 26559 |
| UK Seat Totals - Conservative Seats Total | 19437 |
| UK Seat Totals - UKIP U/O 5.5 Seats | 17907 |
| England - Most Seats England | 17855 |
| UK Seat Totals - SNP U/O 35.5 Seats | 13404 |
| Next Party Leaders - Next Liberal Democrat Leader | 10251 |
| Next Party Leaders - Next Labour Leader | 9061 |
| UK Seat Totals - Lib Dem Seats Total | 8736 |
| 2015 UK General Election - Electoral Bias | 8668 |
| 2015 UK General Election - Next Government Coalition Parties | 8085 |
| UK Seat Totals - SNP U/O 25.5 Seats | 6619 |
| UK Seat Totals - SNP U/O 43.5 Seats | 5751 |
Most active Constituency Markets
kable(head(data_matched_constituencies,10), format = "markdown")| Market | Matched (£) |
|---|---|
| South Thanet - Winner | 44829 |
| Brighton Pavilion - Winner | 9961 |
| Sheffield Hallam - Winner | 7218 |
| Gordon - Winner | 5196 |
| Brighton Kemptown - Brighton Kemptown - Winner | 3683 |
| Cambourne and Redruth - Winner | 3512 |
| Rochester and Strood - Winner | 2846 |
| Castle Point - Castle Point - Winner | 2463 |
| Falkirk - Winner | 1881 |
| Bristol West - Bristol West - Winner | 1709 |
Market = Overall Majority
(implied) Probability vs. date
Current Probabilities
(implied) Probability vs. date (Animated GIF)
Market = Most Seats
(implied) Probability vs. date
Current Probabilities
(implied) Probability vs. date (Animated GIF)
Market = Next Government
(implied) Probability vs. date
Current Probabilities
(implied) Probability vs. date (Animated GIF)
Market = Prime Minister After General Election
(implied) Probability vs. date
(implied) Probability vs. date (Animated GIF)
Market = South Thanet
(implied) Probability vs. date
Current Probabilities
(implied) Probability vs. date (Animated GIF)
Market = UKIP Seats
(implied) Probability vs. date
Current Probabilities
(implied) Probability vs. date (Animated GIF)
